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Market timing signals for stock and bond markets with integrated risk index ratings
Risk assessment rethought

One look - All important stock market risk indices

Just like the quote "It's Not How You Start but How You Finish" says, the exit of a market timing signal determines the profit of a trade.

As stocks provide the best chance to maximize long term returns, we are investing in stock markets as long as our exit signals are NOT active.

Stock market risk indices

The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains positive. The GSMRI increases to 39% - a positive reading. Last week the GSMRI reached a positive level of 30%.

Stock market risk indicator

Quick Info
Our stock risk indices and crash indications have been created to indicate the potential risk of global and regional stock market investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading indicates a positive and rather low risk environment for stock markets. Generally, a risk index level equal or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk situation. The comprehensive and broad Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) is tracking 101 stock markets of developed and emerging countries.

Stock risk indices as of 08/03/2018

Next update: 08/19/2018 *)

Global Stock Risk Index
Global 39% positive
Regional Stock Risk Sub Indices
USA, Canada and Western Europe 34% positive
Asia-Pacific 42% neutral
Eastern Europe 34% positive
Latin America 32% positive
Middle East and North Africa 37% positive
Africa 37% positive
Europe, Australasia and Far East 36% positive
Emerging markets 33% positive
Country Stock Risk Sub Indices
USA 35% positive
Canada 47% neutral
Australia 50% neutral
UK 41% negative
*) This table is updated with one week delay.
Newsletter subscribers receive all data one week earlier on Sunday morning.

The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance, indicating a positive reading of 32%. Last week this index was at 25% (positive).

On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the Asia-Pacific region is indicating the least positive reading at a neutral level of 42%. Last week this index was at 30% (positive).

All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing positive readings.

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