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Intuitive Bond Market Risk Ratings

Bonds are widely considered as stable and safe investments and income-generating asset class.

In an era of record low interest rates and treasury yields, our risk ratings provide you with an intuitive and clear view on the current up- and downside potential of global sovereign debt.

We combine our investment strategy with our market risk ratings to provide unique market insights.

Wolfgang, founder

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Bond Market Risk Ratings as of 05/31/2019*

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The table below shows the recent market risk ratings of major US and global bond markets.

Generally, a risk rating of 60% or higher indicates high-risk and unfavorable market conditions. This means you should consider staying away from such markets or if you have already invested, put your risk management skills in action to protect your investment.

A risk rating of 40% or lower means a low-risk market with favorable market conditions for government bond investments.

Combine our risk ratings with our savvy market strategies, and you find it easier to time the bond market successfully.

Global Bond Risk Rating
Global 5% low risk
Regional Bond Risk Rating
USA, Canada, and Western Europe 8% low risk
Asia-Pacific 0% low risk
Latin America 0% low risk
Global bond market risk rating

The Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) remains at a low-risk reading. The GBMR increases to 5%. Last week the GBMR reached a low-risk level of 2%.

The Regional Bond Market Risk Rating (RBMR) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with an unchanged low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was at 0% (low risk).

On the contrary, the RBMR for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 8%. Last week the rating was at 4% (low risk).

Quick Info

Our risk ratings have been engineered to indicate the downside potential of global and regional sovereign debt investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points.

A low percentage reading indicates a rather positive and low-risk environment for government bonds.

Generally, a risk score equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk situation.

The comprehensive and broad Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries. The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.

Risk Ratings for Major Bond Markets at a Glance

The bond market is one of the major markets for investment. The estimated size of the global bond market is 100 trillion USD, which makes it bigger than the global stock market. Out of this figure, 40 trillion USD is the size of the US bond market. This makes bonds a lucrative investment and essential to have a diverse investment portfolio.

The bond market might not be as unpredictable or unstable as the stock market, but there are still times when market conditions might be unfavorable with a high-risk environment. This makes it necessary for investors to monitor market conditions and the current risk environment constantly.

We have engineered intuitive ratings that will help you make better investment decisions. Subscribe to the Sniper Market Timing Newsletter and receive 20 major bond and stock market, fx and gold risk ratings and 42 market timing signals for US and global stock and stock markets every Sunday along with market performance reports.

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