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Market timing signals for stock and sovereign debt markets with integrated risk index ratings
Risk management and assessment rethought

All important bond risk indices at a glance

Bonds are widely considered as rather and stable safe investments and income-generating asset class.

In an era of record low interest rates and treasury yields our risk indicators provide you with an intuitive and clear view on the current downside potential of global sovereign debt.

Government bond risk indices

The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) changes from neutral to negative. The GBMRI jumps to 69%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 55% (neutral).

Bond risk index

Quick Info
Our risk indices have been engineered to indicate the downside potential global and regional sovereign debt investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading indicates a rather positive and low risk environment for government bonds. Generally, an index level equal or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk situation. The comprehensive and broad Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) is tracking sovereign debt publicly issued by the 21 most important countries. The GBMRI consists of three regional sub-indices.

Bond market risk indices as of 08/03/2018

Next update: 08/19/2018 *)

Global
Global 69% negative
Regional
USA, Canada and Western Europe 71% negative
Asia-Pacific 64% negative
Latin America 75% negative
*) This table is updated with one week delay.
Newsletter subscribers receive all data one week earlier on Sunday morning.

The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a negative reading of 64%. Last week this index was at 46% (neutral).

On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a negative reading of 75%. Last week this index was at 75% (negative).

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