Creating Confidence
Intuitive Bond Market Risk Ratings
Bonds are widely considered as stable and safe investments and income-generating asset classes.
In an era of record-low interest rates and Treasury yields, our risk ratings provide you with an intuitive and clear view of the current up- and downside potential of global sovereign debt.
We combine our investment strategy with our market risk ratings to provide unique market insights.
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We moved our services to risxx.com and stopped updating this page on 12/27/2019.
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Bond Market Risk Ratings as of 12/27/2019
The table below shows the recent market risk ratings of major US and global bond markets.
Generally, a risk rating of 60% or higher indicates high-risk and unfavorable market conditions. This means you should consider staying away from such markets, or if you have already invested, put your risk management skills in action to protect your investment.
A risk rating of 40% or lower means a low-risk market with favorable market conditions for government bond investments.
Combine our risk ratings with our savvy market strategies, and you find it easier to time the bond market successfully.
Global Bond Risk | ||
| Global | 74% | high risk |
Regional Bond Risk | ||
| USA, Canada, and Western Europe | 83% | high risk |
| Asia-Pacific | 79% | high risk |
| Latin America | 0% | low risk |
The global bond risk rating (GBMR) finishes lower at 74% and remains at a high-risk reading. Last week the GBMR reached a high-risk level of 90%.
The regional bond risk rating (RBMR) for Latin America shows the best performance with a new low-risk reading of 0%. Last week the rating was 50% (new medium risk).
On the contrary, the RBMR for the USA, Canada, and Western Europe show the least positive performance with a high-risk reading of 83%. Last week the rating was 96% (high risk).
Quick Info
Our risk ratings have been engineered to indicate the downside potential of global and regional sovereign debt investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points.
A low reading (e.g., 20%) indicates a rather positive and low-risk environment for government bonds.
Generally, a risk score equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk situation.
The comprehensive and broad Global Bond Market Risk Rating (GBMR) is tracking sovereign debt issued by the 21 most important countries. The GBMR consists of three regional risk ratings.
Please find more details on our market risk ratings at our how it works overview.
Market risk definition from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.
What is market risk? by Investopedia
Bond Risk Ratings at a Glance
The bond market is one of the major markets for investment. The global bond market’s estimated size is 100 trillion USD, making it bigger than the global stock market. Out of this figure, 40 trillion USD is the size of the US bond market. This makes bonds a lucrative investment and essential to have a diverse investment portfolio.
The bond market might not be as unpredictable or unstable as the stock market, but there are still times when market conditions might be unfavorable with a high-risk environment. This makes it necessary for investors to monitor market conditions and the current risk environment constantly.
We have engineered intuitive ratings that will help you make better investment decisions. Subscribe to the weekly RISXX Market Risk Report and receive 71 major bond and stock market, fx, and gold risk ratings and 44 risk-based investment signals for US and global stock and bond markets, gold, and the US Dollar every Sunday, along with market performance reports.
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