Bond Market Risk Closed at a High-Risk Level of 67%
Global bond risk remains at a low-risk reading
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a low-risk reading. The GBMRI decreases to 17%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 23% (low risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 0%. Last week this index was at 25% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 21%. Last week this index was at 21% (low risk). Our bond market timing strategy remains invested in all monitored government bond markets.
Current Global Bond Market Risk 17% low risk
Global stock risk remains at a low-risk level
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains at a low-risk reading. The GSMRI increases to 37%. Last week the GSMRI reached a low-risk level of 36%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for emerging markets is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 32%. Last week this index was at 31% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for Eastern Europe is indicating the least positive reading at a low-risk level of 39%. Last week this index was at 38% (low risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing low-risk readings.
US stock market risk increases to a low-risk level of 35% (last week: 32%, low risk). US tech stock risk closes at a low-risk reading of 33% (last week: 30%, low risk).
Currently, two of three exit market timing signals are active. Consequently, our stock market timing strategy favors staying out of the US and global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk 37% low risk
Current US Stock Market Risk 35% low risk
US Dollar risk changes to a new medium risk reading
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a medium risk level. The GUSDRI closes at 46%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a medium risk level of 42%.
Current US Dollar Risk 46% medium risk
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
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