Sniper Market Timing Newsletter

Weekly Market Timing Update - 2019/01

Global bond risk remains at a low-risk reading

Current Global Bond Market Risk
19% low risk

The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a low-risk reading. The GBMRI increases to 19%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 10% (low risk).

The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 7%. Last week this index was at 0% (low risk).

On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 25%. Last week this index was at 25% (low risk).

Our bond market timing strategy remains invested in all monitored government bond markets.

Global stock risk changes to a new medium risk level

The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) changes to a new medium risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 59%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high-risk level of 76%.

The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance, indicating a new medium risk reading of 49%. Last week this index was at 81% (high risk).

On the contrary, the RSMRSI for Eastern Europe is indicating the least positive reading at a high-risk level of 63%. Last week this index was at 82% (high risk).

All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing either high-risk or medium risk readings.

US stock market risk changes to a new medium level of 58% (last week: 87%, high risk). US tech stock risk closes at a new medium risk reading of 56% (last week: 86%, high risk).

Currently, two of three exit market timing signals are active. Consequently, our stock market timing strategy favors staying out of the US and global stock markets.

Current Global Stock Market Risk
59% medium risk

Current US Stock Market Risk
58% medium risk

US Dollar risk remains at low risk

Current US Dollar Risk
35% low risk

The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low-risk level. The GUSDRI closes at 35%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low-risk level of 35%.


Quick info

Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.

Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.


Creating Confidence!

Founder of Sniper Market Timing

"Our goal is to avoid adverse financial impacts for our customers.

We are passionate about analyzing vast amounts of financial market data to detect and assess market risk anomalies for our newsletter subscribers.

We genuinely believe in our unique insight and our approach of combining market timing with risk ratings to erase the guesswork for our clients".

- Wolfgang, founder -

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