Bond market - Global bond risk remains at medium risk
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a medium risk reading. The GBMRI decreases to 44%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 48% (medium risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 29%. Last week this index was at 29% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a medium risk reading of 52%. Last week this index was at 58% (medium risk).
Our bond market timing strategy is issuing a new buy signal for the US government bond market.
Current Global Bond Market Risk 44% medium risk
Stock market - Global stock risk remains at high risk
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains at a high-risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 61%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high-risk level of 81%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance, indicating a high-risk reading of 61%. Last week this index was at 82% (high risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the US, Canada, and Western Europe is indicating the least positive reading at a high-risk level of 67%. Last week this index was at 88% (high-risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing high-risk readings.
US stock market risk sinks to a high-risk level of 63% (last week: 85%, high risk). US tech stock risk closes at a high-risk reading of 62% (last week: 86%, high risk).
Currently, all three exit market timing signals are active. Consequently, our stock market timing strategy is still favoring to stay out of all global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk 61% high risk
Current US Stock Market Risk 63% medium risk
Foreign exchange (FX) - US Dollar risk remains at low risk
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low-risk level. The GUSDRI increases to 31%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low-risk level of 4%.
Current US Dollar Risk 31% low risk
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
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