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Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/38on
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42 investment signals
20 market risk ratings
Global bond risk remains at high risk
Current Global Bond Market Risk
86% high risk
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a high risk reading. The GBMRI increases to 86%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 79% (high risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance with a high risk reading of 75%. Last week this index was at 100% (high risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for the US, Canada and Western Europe is showing the least positive performance with a high risk reading of 88%. Last week this index was at 88% (high risk).
The bond market timing strategy is issuing a new sell signal for the Australian government bond market.
Global stock risk changes to medium risk
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) changes from a high to a medium risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 47%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high risk level of 63%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential market risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is indicating a medium risk reading of 40%. Last week this index was at 66% (high risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the African region is indicating the least positive reading at a medium risk level of 54%. Last week this index was at 76% (high risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing medium risk readings.
US stock market risk changes from a medium to a low risk level of 38% (last week: 54%, medium risk). US tech stock risk remains at a medium risk reading of 42% (last week: 56%, medium risk).
Currently there are no stock market timing exit signals active. Consequently, a new global stock market buy signal is triggered.
Our stock market timing strategy is favoring to invest in global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk
47% medium risk
Current US Stock Market Risk
38% low risk
US Dollar risk remains at low risk
Current US Dollar Risk
19% low risk
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low risk level. The GUSDRI increases to 23%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low risk level of 19%.
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.
"Our goal is to avoid adverse financial impacts for our customers.
We are passionate about analyzing vast amounts of financial market data to detect and assess market risk anomalies for our newsletter subscribers.
We genuinely believe in our unique insight and our approach of combining market timing with risk ratings to erase the guesswork for our clients".
- Wolfgang, founder -