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Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/37on
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42 investment signals
20 market risk ratings
Global bond risk remains at high risk
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a high risk reading. The GBMRI increases to 79%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 65% (high risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a medium risk reading of 57%. Last week this index was at 32% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a high risk reading of 100%. Last week this index was at 100% (high risk).
The bond market timing strategy is issuing new sell signals for the German and Swiss government bond markets.
Current Global Bond Market Risk
79% high risk
Global stock risk remains at high risk
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains at a high risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 63%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high risk level of 70%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the Middle East/North African region is showing the best performance, indicating a medium risk reading of 58%. Last week this index was at 64% (high risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the African region is indicating the least positive reading at a high risk level of 76%. Last week this index was at 82% (high risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing high risk readings.
US stock market risk changes from a high risk to a medium risk level of 54% (last week: 62%; high risk). US tech stock risk decreases to a medium risk reading of 56% (last week: 66%; high risk).
Currently all three exit timing signals are active. Consequently, a new global stock market sell signal is triggered.
Our stock market timing strategy is favoring to stay out of all investments in global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk
63% high risk
Current US Stock Market Risk
54% medium risk
US Dollar risk remains at low risk
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low risk level. The GUSDRI remains at 19%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low risk level of 19%.
Current US Dollar Risk
19% low risk
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.
"Our goal is to avoid adverse financial impacts for our customers.
We are passionate about analyzing vast amounts of financial market data to detect and assess market risk anomalies for our newsletter subscribers.
We genuinely believe in our unique insight and our approach of combining market timing with risk ratings to erase the guesswork for our clients".
- Wolfgang, founder -