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Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/33on
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42 investment signals
20 market risk ratings
Global bond risk remains at medium risk
Current Global Bond Market Risk
49% medium risk
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at medium risk. The GBMRI drops to 49%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 50% (medium risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a medium risk reading of 43%. Last week this index was at 36% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a high risk reading of 100%. Last week this index was at 75% (high risk).
Our bond market timing strategy is issuing a new buy signal for the US government bond market.
Global stock risk changes to high risk
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) changes from a medium risk to a high risk reading. The GSMRI increases to 68% - a high risk reading. Last week the GSMRI reached a medium risk level of 50%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the Middle East and North Africa is showing the best performance, indicating a high risk reading of 64%. Last week this index was at 47% (medium risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for emerging stock markets is indicating the least positive reading at a high risk level of 71%. Last week this index was at 50% (medium risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing high risk readings.
US stock market risk remains at a medium risk level of 57% (last week: 49%). US tech stock risk changes from a medium to a high risk reading of 62% (last week: 50%).
Our gold mining stocks risk benchmark indicates the risk of gold mining stocks investments on an aggregated basis at 100% (negative).
Our stock market timing strategy is still favoring investments in global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk
68% high risk
Current US Stock Market Risk
57% medium risk
US Dollar risk remains at low risk
Current US Dollar Risk
8% low risk
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low risk level. The US dollar is still showing strength against other major currencies. The GUSDRI decreases to 8%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low risk level of 15%.
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.
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We are passionate about analyzing vast amounts of financial market data to detect and assess market risk anomalies for our newsletter subscribers.
We genuinely believe in our unique insight and our approach of combining market timing with risk ratings to erase the guesswork for our clients".
- Wolfgang, founder -