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Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/32on
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42 investment signals
20 market risk ratings
Global bond risk changes from negative to neutral
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) changes from negative to neutral. The GBMRI drops to 50%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 69% (negative).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a positive reading of 36%. Last week this index was at 64% (negative).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a negative reading of 75%. Last week this index was at 75% (negative).
Our bond market timing strategy is issuing a new buy signal for the Australian government bond market.
Current Global Bond Market Risk
Global stock risk changes from positive to neutral
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) changes from positive to neutral. The GSMRI increases to 50% - a neutral reading. Last week the GSMRI reached a positive level of 39%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the Middle East and North Africa is showing the best performance, indicating a neutral reading of 47%. Last week this index was at 37% (positive).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the EAFE region (Europe, Australasia and the Far East), measuring the aggregated potential market risk of developed stock markets outside of the US and Canada, is indicating the least positive reading at a neutral level of 56%. Last week this index was at 36% (positive).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing neutral readings.
Our gold mining stocks risk benchmark indicates the risk of gold mining stocks investments on an aggregated basis at 81% (negative).
Our stock market timing strategy is still favoring investments in global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk
Current US Stock Market Risk
US Dollar risk remains positive
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains positive. The US dollar is still showing strength against other major currencies. The GUSDRI increases to 15%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a positive level of 8%.
Current US Dollar Risk
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.
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We genuinely believe in our unique insight and our approach of combining market timing with risk ratings to erase the guesswork for our clients".
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