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Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/31on
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42 investment signals
20 market risk ratings
Stock Market Risk Closed at a Low-Risk Level of 39%
Global bond risk changes to negative
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) changes from neutral to negative. The GBMRI jumps to 69%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 55% (neutral).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a negative reading of 64%. Last week this index was at 46% (neutral).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a negative reading of 75%. Last week this index was at 75% (negative).
Our bond market timing strategy is issuing 4 new sell signals for the US, Canadian, Australian and Japanese government bond markets.
Current Global Bond Market Risk
Global stock risk remains bullish
US stock market risk remains positive at 35% (last week: 28%). US tech stock risk index is indicating a positive market environment at 36%.
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains positive. The GSMRI increases to 39% - a positive reading. Last week the GSMRI reached a positive level of 30%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for Latin America is showing the best performance, indicating a positive reading of 32%. Last week this index was at 25% (positive).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the Asia-Pacific region is indicating the least positive reading at a neutral level of 42%. Last week this index was at 30% (positive).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing positive readings.
Our gold mining stocks risk benchmark indicates the risk of gold mining stocks investments on an aggregated basis at 88% (negative).
Our stock market timing strategy is still favoring investments in global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk
Current US Stock Market Risk
US Dollar risk remains positive
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains positive. The US dollar is still showing strength against other major currencies. The GUSDRI decreases to 8%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a positive level of 12%.
Current US Dollar Risk
Our FX, bond, and stock market risk ratings have been created to indicate the potential risk of investments on an aggregated basis in percentage points. A low percentage reading suggests a positive and rather low-risk environment for the respective market.
Generally, a risk level equal to or above 60% should indicate a relatively high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
More information about our intuitive risk ratings and how they work at Market Risk Ratings - How it works.
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