Bond market - Global bond risk remains at a low-risk reading
Current Global Bond Market Risk 23% low risk
The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a low-risk reading. The GBMRI increases to 23%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 15% (low risk).
The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a low-risk reading of 21%. Last week this index was at 7% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a low-risk reading of 25%. Last week this index was at 25% (low risk). Our bond market timing strategy remains invested in all monitored government bond markets.
Stock market - Global stock risk remains at a low-risk level
The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains at a low-risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 36%. Last week the GSMRI reached a low-risk level of 38%.
The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for emerging markets is showing the best performance, indicating a low-risk reading of 31%. Last week this index was at 35% (low risk).
On the contrary, the RSMRSI for Africa is indicating the least positive reading at a medium risk level of 40%. Last week this index was at 44% (medium risk).
All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing low-risk readings.
US stock market risk decreases to a low-risk level of 32% (last week: 36%, low risk). US tech stock risk closes at a low-risk reading of 30% (last week: 34%, low risk).
Currently, two of three exit market timing signals are active. Consequently, our stock market timing strategy favors staying out of the US and global stock markets.
Current Global Stock Market Risk 36% low risk
Current US Stock Market Risk 32% low risk
Foreign exchange (FX) - US Dollar risk changes to a new medium risk reading
Current US Dollar Risk 42% medium risk
The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) changes to a new medium risk level. The GUSDRI closes at 42%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low-risk level of 38%.
Please note that a risk index level equal to or above 60% is indicating a somewhat high-risk and unfavorable market environment.
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