US stock market risk: 53% (medium risk) - CLICK here for more details!

Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/37

Bond market - Global bond risk remains at high risk

Current Global Bond Market Risk
79% high risk

The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains at a high risk reading. The GBMRI increases to 79%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 65% (high risk).

The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a medium risk reading of 57%. Last week this index was at 32% (low risk).

On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a high risk reading of 100%. Last week this index was at 100% (high risk).

The bond market timing strategy is issuing new sell signals for the German and Swiss government bond markets.

Stock market - Global stock risk remains at high risk

The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains at a high risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 63%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high risk level of 70%.

The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the Middle East/North African region is showing the best performance, indicating a medium risk reading of 58%. Last week this index was at 64% (high risk).

On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the African region is indicating the least positive reading at a high risk level of 76%. Last week this index was at 82% (high risk).

All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing high risk readings.

US stock market risk changes from a high risk to a medium risk level of 54% (last week: 62%; high risk). US tech stock risk decreases to a medium risk reading of 56% (last week: 66%; high risk).

Currently all three exit timing signals are active. Consequently, a new global stock market sell signal is triggered.

Our stock market timing strategy is favoring to stay out of all investments in global stock markets.

Current Global Stock Market Risk
63% high risk

Current US Stock Market Risk
54% medium risk

Foreign exchange (FX) - US Dollar risk remains at low risk

Current US Dollar Risk
19% low risk

The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low risk level. The GUSDRI remains at 19%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low risk level of 19%.


Please note that a risk index level equal or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

More information our intuitive risk indices and how they work at Market Risk Index - How it works.