US stock market risk: 53% (medium risk) - CLICK here for more details!

Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/34

Bond market - Global bond risk changes to low risk

Current Global Bond Market Risk
38% low risk

The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) changes from a medium risk to a low risk reading. The GBMRI sinks to 38%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 49% (medium risk).

The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for the Asia-Pacific region is showing the best performance with a low risk reading of 25%. Last week this index was at 43% (medium risk).

On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a high risk reading of 100%. Last week this index was at 100% (high risk).

Our bond market timing strategy is issuing a new buy signal for the Canadian government bond market.

Stock market - Global stock risk changes to medium risk

The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) changes from a high risk to a medium risk reading. The GSMRI decreases to 58%. Last week the GSMRI reached a high risk level of 68%.

The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the US, Canada and Western Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a medium risk reading of 55%. Last week this index was at 68% (high risk).

On the contrary, the RSMRSI for Eastern Europe is indicating the least positive reading at a medium risk level of 58%. Last week this index was at 68% (high risk).

All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing medium risk readings.

US stock market risk remains at a medium risk level of 48% (last week: 57%). US tech stock risk changes from a high risk to a medium risk reading of 49% (last week: 62%).

Our stock market timing strategy is still favoring investments in global stock markets.

Current Global Stock Market Risk
58% medium risk

Current US Stock Market Risk
48% medium risk

Foreign exchange (FX) - US Dollar risk remains at low risk

Current US Dollar Risk
12% low risk

The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains at a low risk level. The GUSDRI increases to 12%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a low risk level of 8%.


Please note that a risk index level equal or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

More information our intuitive risk indices and how they work at Market Risk Index - How it works.