US stock market risk: 53% (medium risk) - CLICK here for more details!

Weekly Market Timing Update - 2018/28

Bond market - Global bond risk remains positive

Current Global Bond Market Risk
17% positive

The Global Bond Market Risk Index (GBMRI) remains positive. The GBMRI increases slightly to 17%. Last week the GBMRI reached a level of 14% (positive).

The Regional Bond Market Risk Sub Index (RBMRSI) for USA, Canada and Western Europe is showing the best performance with a positive reading of 4%. Last week this index was at 8% (positive).

On the contrary, the RBMRSI for Latin America is showing the least positive performance with a neutral reading of 50%. Last week this index was at 50% (neutral).

Our bond market timing strategy is still favoring to stay invested in all monitored government bond markets.

Stock market - Global stock risk remains neutral

US stock market risk increases from 53% (last week) to 38%.

The Global Stock Market Risk Index (GSMRI) remains neutral. The GSMRI decreases to 47% - a neutral reading. Last week the GSMRI reached a neutral level of 59%.

The Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Index (RSMRSI) for the US, Canada and Western Europe is showing the best performance, indicating a neutral reading of 41%. Last week this index was at 56% (neutral).

On the contrary, the RSMRSI for the Africa region is indicating the least positive reading at a neutral level of 53%. Last week this index was at 65% (negative).

All other Regional Stock Market Risk Sub Indices are showing neutral readings.

Our gold mining stocks risk benchmark indicates the risk of gold mining stocks investments on an aggregated basis at 75% (negative).

Our stock market timing strategy is still favoring investments in global stock markets.

Current Global Stock Market Risk
47% neutral

Current US Stock Market Risk
38% positive

Foreign exchange (FX) - US Dollar risk remains positive

Current US Dollar Risk
4% positive

The Global US Dollar Risk Index (GUSDRI) remains positive but overbought. The US dollar is showing strength against other major currencies. The GUSDRI decreases to 4%. Last week the GUSDRI reached a positive level of 8%.

Please note that a risk index level equal or above 60% is indicating a rather high-risk and unfavorable market environment.

More information our intuitive risk indices and how they work at Market Risk Index - How it works.